The Next Big Thing will be Small

Last Sunday on our way to my daughter's soccer game I gave her some last minute coaching. I said, "Don't run to where the ball is, run to where it's going. Otherwise you'll just keep chasing it and never catch it."

Later that day I was catching up on some reading and I saw that Mark Suster had just posted Skate Where the Puck is Going. Not only did he say essentially the same thing (yes, Wayne Gretzky said it first), he even talked about how the idea of "check-ins for TV, with badges" isn't really innovation, something we've been saying at WatchParty since the beginning.

Hockey-puck-going

Suster talked about how the latest buzzwords always get put into pitches and plans - in other words, playing to the puck at one's feet - without any thought to truly innovating - playing to where the puck is going. Since I spend so much time thinking about where the puck will be, I thought I would share some of those thoughts.

I'll start with social networking; specifically Facebook and Twitter. Right now their limitations are beginning to show, and can be stated simply: TOO MUCH.

Having hundreds of friends on Facebook and following hundreds of people on Twitter was great, but for most of us it's simply become too much to handle. We have to sift through too many updates to find relevant information in the midst of what is, frankly, a whole bunch of garbage. Facebook and Twitter both recognize the problem; Facebook added groups and Twitter added lists to help people manage the information, and both have plans to add more features that address information overload.

Even with new features, the core problem will continue to exist: Both Facebook and Twitter want you to form essentially permanent connections with other people. That's fine for people you actually care about, but it creates problems around privacy and too much personal information when most of your connections are really just acquaintances. These tools, great as they are, force users to be cautious about using them.

The potential for The Next Big Thing has opened up.

Bears-fishing1

The Next Big Thing, in my opinion, will be social networks that allow participants to interact with one another without requiring them to commit to being permanently connected. I call them micro-networks.

Micro-networks are rapidly-formed networks that spring into existence in response to a specific catalyst, and which dissolve as soon as the catalyst is removed. They exist everywhere in nature, from the large numbers of normally solitary bears who gather to feast during salmon runs to the small group of strangers who suddenly feel close to one another because they witnessed the same unusual or traumatic event.

There are a number of companies flirting with this already. Ning isn't too far off by letting you set up your own social network around some specific identity, but it's not quite micro-networking - yet. The Social Collective builds social networks around conferences - true micro-networks in that they are networks that are formed temporarily around a specific catalyst. WatchParty is building a platform for micro-networks formed around specific TV events. I know others who are building micro-networking platforms around the bar scene, sporting events from high school to professional leagues, and festivals. One very interesting component of this is the fact that mobile technology makes the formation of online micro-networks extremely easy.

I may be wrong. But I may be right. We'll know in a few more years. But I'm willing to bet my future (in fact I already am) that in a couple of years the Web is going to see an explosion of platforms that let people come together and interact for a short period of time around a specific topic or event, and then let them all peacefully go their separate ways.

 

A Week Offline

I just came back from a week's vacation. I love vacations because they allow me to spend all of my time with my family, and they are my favorite people. In the past, though, I've always kept work close at hand; I checked email regularly, answered those I felt needed answering, and made or returned calls when I though situations required it. Usually I woke up before everyone else and spent an hour or two working so I wouldn't have to feel obligated to do things during the day, but I still checked my inboxes regularly throughout the day, and often would respond when my family was focused on other things.

This year I tried something. I left my laptop and iPad at home, and took only my iPhone. As soon as we left the house, I turned the phone off. During the first part of my trip, I only turned the phone on when my wife and I were apart, so we could reach each other if necessary, but I didn't answer any call that wasn't from her. I didn't tweet or post anything to Facebook. The only exceptions were the last night of our campout when we could tell that a storm was coming and used the iPhone to check the weather so we would know precisely what to expect. (a storm can be exciting, but also scary, when a tent is your only shelter), and a client conference call I joined only because we were in the car the whole time and there wasn't much else to do.

In the middle of the week I returned home to attend a Mashable event, and of course I went back online for about twelve hours and caught up on some emails and social media. When the event was over I took my family to the beach for a few days, and stayed offline until the last night, when I had a great dinner and checked-in at the restaurant through Foursquare to give them a plug. (If you are ever in Rehoboth Beach, you should definitely eat at Blue. Best fried green tomatoes I've ever had.)

Beach_scene_sm

I can honestly say that staying offline was well worth it, and I'll be doing it again on future vacations. This trip instead of waking up early and working, I woke up early and went fishing. When I had a few minutes to myself i didn't check emails or make calls, I read a book. There were, of course, plenty of times when work crept into my consciousness, but when it happened I resisted the urge to go online. Sometimes I just let the work thoughts go, and they drifted away as my mind focused on the sound of the birds or my daughter's laughter. Other times I let the work thoughts stick around, and was surprised and how much more clearly I could think about tasks or strategies when I was completely removed from the day-to-day minutiae.

For all of you who take "working vacations" I say stop. Take a real vacation, and leave it all behind for a while. It will make you a better worker, not a worse one.